eNCA election poll 2024, conducted by Mark Data.
JOHANNESBURG - 29 May 2024 is an important day in the history of South Africa’s democracy.
To gauge the feelings of South Africans, eNCA took to the streets and conducted interviews with 3022 households that are representative of the wider society. Assisted by Mark Data (Pty) Ltd the interviews were conducted face-to-face and on a one-on-one basis.
Those interviewed ranged from city dwellers to rural citizens. Furthermore, the interviews were conducted in the person’s language of choice.
Information from 30 percent of those surveyed was double checked to improve the quality of the data. The margin of error was a respectable 1.8 percent.
eNCA is in the process of concluding another election poll. The results will be released a few days before the polls, on the 19th of May 2024. For more election news, analysis, and in-depth coverage, tune into eNCA, DStv Channel 403.
The participants were asked a little over 40 questions in the initial survey and these are some of the highlights from the poll.
WHY IS THE ANC LOSING SUPPORT?
CORRUPTION 39%
UNEMPLOYMENT 28%
LOADSHEDDING 19%
POVERTY 7%
WATER CUT-OFFS 6%
WHY THE INCREASE IN POVERTY AND INEQUALITY?
GOVERNMENT DOES NOT CARE 49%
THE GREED OF THE BLACK ELITE 48%
ANC POLICIES 35%
WHITES STILL BENEFIT FROM APARTHEID 33%
THE ANC IS DOING ITS BEST 14%
WHY IS THE DA GOVERNING THE WESTERN CAPE SUCCESSFULLY?
WHITES AND COLOUREDS SUPPORT THE DA: 37%
DA LEADERS ARE WELL EDUCATED: 34%
THE DA IS HARD WORKING AND NOT CORRUPT: 35%
THE DA BENEFITS FROM APARTHEID: 30%
THE DA DOES NOT GOVERN THE WESTERN CAPE WELL: 20%
IF THE ANC LOSES THE 2024 ELECTIONS…
THEY WILL FIND A WAY TO STAY IN POWER: 77%
THEY WILL GIVE UP POWER: 21%
DISAPPOINTMENT LEVELS WITH POLITICS
DISAPPOINTED: 83%
NOT DISAPPOINTED: 16%
PARTY CHOICE: KWAZULU NATAL
MK 35,6%
IFP 20,9%
DA 13,6%
ANC 13,1%
EFF 10,6%
OTHERS 6,2%
2024 SUPPORTERS SWITCHING THEIR VOTE
(AVERAGE 27%)
MK: 68%
IFP: 52%
EFF: 47%
DA: 21%
ANC: 8%
VOTERS’ LIKELINESS TO VOTE
I will certainly vote: 49,8%
I will probably vote: 17,3%
I will vote if I find time: 10,9%
It depends how I feel on the day: 9%
VOTERS’ LIKELINESS TO VOTE OVERALL (Incl. those who will not vote)
CERTAIN TO VOTE: 57%
POSSIBLY: 39%
WILL NOT VOTE: 3%
VOTER SENTIMENT
SOUTH AFRICA NEEDS A NEW GOVERNMENT: 53%
SOUTH AFRICA MUST RETURN TO THE SPIRIT OF 1994: 49%
SOUTH AFRICA IS GETTING BETTER: 16%
THE GOVERNMENT IS DOING ITS BEST: 12%
BLACK ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT
KEEP BEE IN THE INTEREST OF FAIRNESS: 47%
RELAX BEE TO ENTICE FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: 43%
UNSURE: 9%