DStv Channel 403 Wednesday, 27 November 2024

Stocks mostly rise as profits please and recession worries ease

The dollar has weakened against its major peers as traders bet on the Federal Reserve soon ending its campaign of interest rate hikes
2011 Getty Images
GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/Getty Images via AFP/File | MARK WILSON

NEW YORK - World stock markets mainly rose Friday as companies reported better-than-expected earnings and investors hoped easing US inflation would mean an end to rate hikes is near.

The European single currency meanwhile struck $1.1248, the highest level since February 2022, and oil prices slid before the weekend.

The US corporate earnings season got into full swing with big-hitting banks Citigroup, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo all reporting better-than-expected results or outlooks.

"One key point to watch for here will be impairments -- even though the monetary policy tightening cycle appears to be closing in on its peak, has the Fed overcooked the situation and will this now leave a lasting scar on economic performance?" noted Scope Markets analyst Joshua Mahony.

JPMorgan Chase reported a 67 percent jump in second-quarter profits to $14.5 billion, but also added reserves of $1.5 billion in case of bad loans, although most of that was tied to its acquisition of First Republic Bank under a government-orchestrated spring auction after the smaller lender suffered a fatal run on deposits. 

Its shares rose but had given up their gains by late morning.

Shares in Wells Fargo bank rose more than two percent before paring gains after it beat revenue and earnings estimates, with net profit rising 58 percent to $4.9 billion. Meanwhile, provisions for credit losses came in at $1.71 billion, up from $580 million last year. 

Citigroup shares slid 2.5 percent after it reported a 36 percent drop in profits, although it still beat expectations. 

Traders welcomed this week more data showing falling US inflation, giving the Fed room to bring the curtain down on more than a year of rate increases.

Global equities have been bubbling on hopes for an end to monetary tightening aimed at taming inflation, which was fuelled by post-Covid reopening, supply chain snarls and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

That has come just as China pledges to introduce measures to kickstart its stuttering economy and bring an end to a painful crackdown on the huge tech sector.

Wall Street cheered news Thursday that wholesale prices rose less than expected in June. That followed Wednesday's report showing the consumer price index below forecasts.

While the CPI remains above the Fed's target, analysts said there is growing confidence that officials were winning their battle and the economy could avoid a feared recession.

Despite a Fed official saying he thinks two more rate hikes are possible this year the "market still believes it is one-and-done for the Fed", said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare.

"In any case, the stock market is winning the fight for now, because it remains evident in the strong labor market that the economy is still battling well in the wake of the Fed's prior rate hikes," he added.

Thursday's upbeat mood filtered through to Asia, where Hong Kong rose for a fifth successive day thanks to a bounce in Chinese tech giants. 

Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei, Mumbai, Bangkok, Manila and Jakarta also gained.

However, Tokyo struggled owing to a pick-up in the yen against the dollar, which has come under pressure against its peers owing to lower expectations about US rates.

Oil prices fell Friday but were still set to end the week with gains.

"Crude oil prices look set to complete their third successive weekly gain pushing above $80 a barrel, as concerns over tighter supply help to underpin prices," said Michael Hewson at CMC Markets.

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