DStv Channel 403 Friday, 29 November 2024

Asian markets mostly up but rate worries keep optimism in check

Asian markets started positively on Monday

BEIJING - Most Asian markets rose but traders remained on edge after Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell reiterated that inflation was coming down but interest rates might need to go higher than expected to get it under control.

A run of key data in recent months has indicated a series of bumper hikes last year was beginning to pay off, fuelling hopes that the central bank could pause its tightening cycle and even lower borrowing costs at the end of the year.

But a forecast-busting jobs report on Friday -- showing half a million new jobs created in January -- dealt traders a heavy blow and stoked speculation that more increases were on the way.

And on Tuesday, Powell confirmed those fears, telling The Economic Club of Washington, DC that he saw 2023 to be a year of "significant declines in inflation", but it will only hit the Fed's two percent target next year.

But he warned "we think we are going to need to do further rate increases", adding that the "labour market is extraordinarily strong".

"If the data were to continue to come in stronger than we expect, and we were to conclude that we needed to raise rates more... then we would certainly do that," he said.

The remarks were echoed by Minneapolis Fed chief Neel Kashkari -- considered a dovish member of the Fed board -- who said rates might need to rise from the current 4.5-4.75 percent to 5.4 percent, higher than markets are currently pricing in.

"When you have the likes of Neel Kashkari reiterating his belief of a Fed Funds rate of 5.4 percent before a pause... it would appear that once again US markets are indulging in wishful thinking when it comes to where rates are likely to go over the next 12 months," said CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson.

Powell's comments were also similar to what he said last Wednesday, after the bank's latest policy meeting, which sparked an equities rally.

And Wall Street again pushed higher Tuesday.

Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Wellington, Taipei, Manila, Mumbai and Jakarta all rose Wednesday but Hong Kong, Shanghai, Tokyo and Bangkok fell.

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